2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to navigation Jump to search

2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

← 2008 November 2, 2010 2012 →
  John Lynch (cropped).jpg No image.svg
Nominee John Lynch John Stephen
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 239,390 205,433
Percentage 52.6% 45.1%

New Hampshire Governor Election Results by County, 2010.svg
County Results

Lynch:      40–50%      50–60%

Stephen:      40–50%

Governor before election

John Lynch
Democratic

Elected Governor

John Lynch
Democratic

The 2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch was re-elected to his fourth term and final term.[1]

Background[edit]

New Hampshire is one of only two states where the Governor serves for a two-year term, the other being neighboring Vermont. Lynch was re-elected by landslide margins in 2006 and 2008, and has enjoyed historically high approval ratings. In early 2010, his approval rating showed a downward trend, with an April poll indicating that his approval had fallen below 50% (44% approve, 42% disapprove).[2] After the primary elections in mid-September, Lynch's approval rating rebounded (51% approve, 38% disapprove).[3]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • John Lynch, incumbent Governor[4]
  • Timothy Robertson, state representative
  • Frank Sullivan

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Lynch (incumbent) 49,832 87.5
Democratic Timothy Robertson 3,771 6.6
Democratic Frank Sullivan 3,377 5.9
Total votes 56,980 97.3

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Frank Robert Emiro Sr., state representative
  • Jack Kimball, businessman[6]
  • John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner[7]
  • Karen Testerman, conservative activist[6]

Declined[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Dates administered Jack
Kimball
John
Stephen
Karen
Testerman
Public Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 24% 45% 8%
Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 15% 26% 5%
Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 10% 29% 15%

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Stephen 77,962 61.6
Republican Jack Kimball 31,581 24.9
Republican Karen Testerman 12,708 10.0
Republican Frank Emiro 4,394 3.5
Total votes 126,645 96.7

General election[edit]

Candidates[edit]

  • John Babiarz, Libertarian
  • John Lynch, Democratic
  • John Stephen, Republican

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid D[11] October 12, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans D[12] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Safe D[13]
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D[14] September 30, 2010
CQ Politics Safe D[15] October 12, 2010

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
John
Lynch (D)
John
Stephen (R)
Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2010 51% 45%
WMUR/UNH October 7–12, 2010 51% 38%
American Research Group October 3–5, 2010 51% 41%
Granite State Poll October 1, 2010 51% 34%
American Research Group September 22–26, 2010 42% 40%
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2010 48% 46%
Public Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 51% 39%
Rasmussen Reports August 5, 2010 50% 39%
Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 51% 34%
Rasmussen Reports May 26, 2010 47% 35%
Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 47% 36%
Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 47% 37%
Rasmussen Reports March 8, 2010 50% 35%
Granite State Poll January 27-February 3, 2010 50% 30%

Results[edit]

2010 New Hampshire Governor general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic John Lynch (incumbent) 240,346 52.63% -17.57%
Republican John Stephen 205,616 45.03% +17.43%
Libertarian John Babiarz 10,089 2.21% +0.02%
Write-ins 537 <0.01%
Majority 34,730
Turnout 456,588
Democratic hold Swing

References[edit]

  1. ^ "NH Gov. John Lynch Running for 4th Term - FOX44NOW.COM - Burlington/Plattsburgh News, Weather and Sports". FOX44NOW.COM. Archived from the original on March 1, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  2. ^ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2010/PPP_Release_NH_423.pdf
  3. ^ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_916.pdf
  4. ^ "Gov. Lynch could face difficult re-election bid » New Hampshire » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com. April 18, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  5. ^ a b "New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primary Results". Politico. September 14, 2010. Retrieved September 14, 2010.
  6. ^ a b John Distaso (December 9, 2009). "Testerman steps into the ring in governor's race". The Union Leader. Archived from the original on February 20, 2010. Retrieved January 1, 2010.
  7. ^ "John Stephen for Governor | New Leadership for New Hampshire". Johnstephen.com. Archived from the original on September 15, 2008. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  8. ^ "Republicans land top recruit in New Hampshire - The Scorecard". Politico.Com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  9. ^ "Frank Guinta for Congress". Teamguinta.com. July 29, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. ^ "Downing runs for sheriff, Morse for NH Senate » Latest News » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  11. ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
  12. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  13. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
  14. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
  15. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 12, 2010.

External links[edit]

Official campaign sites (Archived)