2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 14 13

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

District 1[edit]

The 1st district is located in the state's western Panhandle. Anchored in Pensacola, the district includes all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties and portions of Holmes county. It includes the large military bedroom communities and tourist destinations of Navarre and Fort Walton Beach and stretches along the Emerald Coast. The district, as ranked by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, is the most Republican district in Florida and the 15th most in the United States. The incumbent is Republican Matt Gaetz, who was re-elected with 67.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. representative.
  • Gregory Merk
  • John Mills

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Gaetz (incumbent)
Republican Gregory Merk
Republican John Mills
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Phil Ehr 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[3] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[6] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[8] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[9] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic Phil Ehr
Total votes 100%

District 2[edit]

The 2nd district is located in the Big Bend region and is anchored by Panama City, and includes the suburbs of Tallahassee. Republican Neal Dunn, who has represented the district since 2017, was elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Neal Dunn (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Kristy Thripp (write-in)[10]
Withdrawn[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kristy Thripp (write-in) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[14] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[16] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[17] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[18] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[19] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Neal Dunn (incumbent)
Democratic TBA
Total votes 100%

District 3[edit]

The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida and includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. The incumbent is Republican Ted Yoho, who was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2018.[20] On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve 4 terms.[21]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Kat Cammack
Federal officials
Organizations
Todd Chase
State officials
  • Aaron Bean, state senator and former state representative (2000-2008)[38]
  • Keith Perry, state senator and former state representative (2010-2016)[39]
Gavin Rollins
State officials
Judson Sapp
Federal officials
State officials
Individuals
James St. George
Federal officials

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kat Cammack
Republican Ryan Chamberlin
Republican Bill Engelbrecht
Republican Kent Guinn
Republican Joe Millado
Republican Matthew Raines
Republican Gavin Rollins
Republican Judson Sapp
Republican James St. George
Republican David Theus
Republican Amy Pope Wells
Total votes 100.0%

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kat
Cammack
Ryan
Chamberlin
Todd
Chase
James St.
George
Gavin
Rollins
Judson
Sapp
Amy Pope
Wells
Other Undecided
WPA Intelligence/Kat Cammack[A] June 16-17, 2020 405 (RV) ± 4.9% 10% 1% 5% 4% 1% 12% 1% 5%[b] 60%
Hypothetical polling
with Ted Yoho
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Rollins
Judson
Sapp
Amy
Pope Wells
Ted
Yoho
Undecided
Meer Research November 20, 2019 533 (RV) ± 4.24% 8% 2% 3% 71% 16%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Adam Christensen
  • Philip Dodds [50]
  • Richard Rowe
  • Tom Wells [50]

Endorsements[edit]

Adam Christensen
Organizations
Tom Wells
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adam Christensen
Democratic Philip Dodds
Democratic Richard Rowe
Democratic Tom Wells
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[54] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[56] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[57] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[58] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[59] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 3rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic TBA
Total votes 100%

District 4[edit]

The 4th district encompasses parts of Jacksonville, along with parts of that city's northern and western suburbs and the city of St Augustine. The incumbent is Republican John Rutherford, who was re-elected with 65.2% of the vote in 2018.[20]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Erick Aguilar
Republican John Rutherford (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Donna Deegan
Unions
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Donna Deegan 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%
Third-party and Independent candidates[edit]
Declared[edit]
  • Christopher Eagle (Independent)[67]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[68] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[69] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[70] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[71] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[72] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[73] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[74] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 4th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic Donna Deegan
Independent TBA
Total votes 100%

District 5[edit]

The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida from the state capital, Tallahassee, to Jacksonville. The incumbent is Democrat Al Lawson, who was re-elected with 66.8% of the vote in 2018.[20]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Albert Chester, pharmacist[75]
  • LaShonda "LJ" Holloway
  • Al Lawson, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements[edit]

Albert Chester
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Albert Chester
Democratic LaShonda "LJ" Holloway
Democratic Al Lawson (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Gary Adler
  • Matthew Lusk, bookseller[77]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gary Adler
Republican Matthew Lusk
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[78] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[79] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[80] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[81] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[82] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[83] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[84] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 5th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100%

District 6[edit]

The 6th district is located in the Surf Coast region and includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Deltona, and Palm Coast. Republican Michael Waltz, who has represented the district since 2019, was elected with 56% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Waltz (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Clinton Curtis
  • Richard Thripp

Endorsements[edit]

Richard Thripp
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Clinton Curtis
Democratic Richard Thripp
Total votes 100.0%

Qualified Write-In Candidates with No Primary advancing to Nov 3 2020 General Election[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[88] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[89] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[90] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[91] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[92] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[93] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[94] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 6th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Waltz (incumbent)
Democratic TBA
Total votes 100%

District 7[edit]

The 7th district encompasses all of Seminole County and northern Orange County, including much of downtown and northern Orlando and the cities of Maitland and Winter Park. The incumbent is Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2018.[20]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary result
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Stephanie Murphy (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Leo Valentin, radiologist[96]
  • Yukong Zhao [97]
  • Richard Goble [97]
Withdrawn[edit]
  • Jan Edwards, businesswoman[98]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Leo Valentin
Republican Yukong Zhao
Republican Richard Goble
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[99] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[100] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[101] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[102] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[103] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[104] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[105] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling[edit]

Hypothetical polling
with Richard Goble, Joel Greenberg (R), Stephanie Murphy and Leo Valentin
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Richard
Goble (R)
Joel
Greenberg (R)
Stephanie
Murphy (D)
Leo
Valentin (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics Jan 2-3, 2020 813 (RV) ± 3.4% 4%[c] 20% 43% 4% 29%
with Joel Greenberg and Stephanie Murphy
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joel
Greenberg (R)
Stephanie
Murphy (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics Jan 2-3, 2020 813 (RV) ± 3.4% 42%[d] 43% 15%

Results[edit]

Florida's 7th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Stephanie Murphy (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Independent William Garlington
Total votes 100%

District 8[edit]

The 8th district includes the Space Coast region and the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Vero Beach. Republican Bill Posey, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 15th district from 2009 to 2013, was re-elected to a fifth term with 60% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Scott Caine
  • Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. representative.

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Posey (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Jim Kennedy
Withdrawn[edit]
  • Hicham Ammi[106]
  • Tiffany Patti[107]
  • Jason Williams

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Kennedy 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[108] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[109] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[110] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[111] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[112] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[113] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[114] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 8th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic Jim Kennedy
Total votes 100%

District 9[edit]

The 9th district encompasses eastern Orlando and the cities of Yeehaw Junction, Kissimmee, and St. Cloud. The incumbent is Democrat Darren Soto, who was re-elected with 58.0% of the vote in 2018.[20]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Darren Soto (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jose Castillo
Republican Bill Olson
Republican Sergio E. Ortiz
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[122] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[123] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[124] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[125] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[126] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[127] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[128] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling[edit]

Results[edit]

Florida's 9th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Darren Soto (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Independent John Christian Rallison
Total votes 100%

District 10[edit]

The 10th district is centered around Orlando and the surrounding suburbs such as Lockhart, Oak Ridge, and Zellwood. The incumbent is Democrat Val Demings, who was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[20]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Val Demings (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Vennia Francois
  • Willie Montague[130]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vennia Francois
Republican Willie Montague
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[131] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[132] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[133] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[134] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[135] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[136] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[137] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida’s 10th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Val Demings (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Independent Kristofer Lawson
Total votes 100.0

District 11[edit]

The 11th district is located in Central Florida and includes the southern suburbs of Ocala and Spring Hill, this district also includes the retirement community known as The Villages. Republican Daniel Webster, who has represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 8th district from 2011 to 2013 and the 10th district from 2013 to 2017, was re-elected to a fourth term with 65% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Webster (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Dana Cottrell
Withdrawn[edit]
  • Jeff Rabinowitz[138]
  • James Henry
Dana Cottrell
Organizations
  • Demand Universal Healthcare (DUH)[51]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dana Cottrell 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[139] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[140] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[141] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[142] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[143] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[144] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[145] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 11th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Webster (incumbent)
Democratic Dana Cottrell
Total votes 100.0

District 12[edit]

The 12th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Dade City, New Port Richey, and Palm Harbor. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 2007 to 2013, was re-elected to a sixth term with 58% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Kimberly Walker

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kimberly Walker 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[146] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[147] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[148] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[149] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[150] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[151] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[152] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 12th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gus Bilirakis (incumbent)
Democratic Kimberly Walker
Independent Michael Knezevich
Total votes 100.0

District 13[edit]

The 13th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Clearwater, Largo and St. Petersburg. The incumbent is Democrat Charlie Crist, who was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2018.[20]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Charlie Crist
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charlie Crist (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

George Buck
Organizations
Anna Paulina Luna
Federal officials
Local officials
Individuals
Amanda Makki
Federal officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Becker
Republican George Buck
Republican Sheila Griffin
Republican Amanda Makki
Republican Sharon Newby
Republican Anna Paulina Luna
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[180] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[181] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[182] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[183] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[184] Likely D June 3, 2020
RCP[185] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[186] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling[edit]

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist (D)
Rick
Baker (R)
Undecided
St. Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics Sep 25, 2019 1,254 (RV) ± 2.8% 42% 35.3% 22.7%

Results[edit]

Florida's 13th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charlie Crist (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 14[edit]

The 14th district is centered around the city of Tampa and the immediate surrounding suburbs such as Lutz and Temple Terrace. Democrat Kathy Castor, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Castor (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Paul Elliott
  • Christine Quinn

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Elliott
Republican Christine Quinn
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[187] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[188] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[189] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[190] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[191] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[192] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[193] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida’s 14th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Castor (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Independent Alix Toulme Jr.
Independent Robert Wunderlich Sr.
Total votes 100.0

District 15[edit]

The 15th district is based in the eastern suburbs and exurbs of Tampa, including Brandon, Plant City, Lakeland and Bartow. The incumbent is Republican Ross Spano, who was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2018.[20]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Ross Spano
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Local officials

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Franklin
Republican Ross Spano (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]
Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Alan Cohn
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Municipal officials
Notable individuals
Labor unions
Adam Hattersley
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Municipal officials
Notable individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Labor unions
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alan Cohn
Democratic Adam Hattersley
Democratic Jesse Philippe
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[226] Lean R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[227] Likely R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[228] Lean R July 2, 2020
Politico[229] Lean R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[230] Likely R June 3, 2020
RCP[231] Lean R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[232] Lean R June 7, 2020

Polling[edit]

Results[edit]

Florida's 15th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ross Spano (incumbent)
Democratic TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 16[edit]

The 16th district encompasses the southern suburbs of Tampa, including Riverview and Sun City Center, and stretches down into Manatee County and northern Sarasota County. The incumbent is Republican Vern Buchanan, who was reelected with 54.6% of the vote in 2018.[20]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vern Buchanan (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Margaret Good
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Margaret Good 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[237] Likely R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[238] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[239] Likely R July 2, 2020
Politico[240] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[241] Likely R June 3, 2020
RCP[242] Likely R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[243] Likely R June 7, 2020

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Vern
Buchanan (R)
Margaret
Good (D)
Undecided
Data Targeting (R)[B] January 14–16, 2020 400 ± 4.9% 53% 33% 14%

Results[edit]

Florida's 16th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic Margaret Good
Total votes 100.0

District 17[edit]

The 17th district comprises most of the Florida Heartland, including the cities of Sebring and Okeechobee, as well as parts of the Suncoast, such as North Port and Port Charlotte. Republican Greg Steube, who has represented the district since 2019 and was elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Steube (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Allen Ellison

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Allen Ellison 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[244] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[245] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[246] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[247] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[248] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[249] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[250] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 17th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Steube (incumbent)
Democratic Allen Ellison
Total votes 100.0

District 18[edit]

The 18th district encompasses the Treasure Coast region, including Stuart, Port St. Lucie, and northern Palm Beach County. The incumbent is Republican Brian Mast, who was reelected with 54.3% of the vote in 2018.[20]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Brian Mast
Organizations
  • Combat Veterans for Congress[253]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Mast (incumbent)
Republican Nick Vessio
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Pam Keith, attorney and former U.S. Navy judge advocate (1995-1999), 2018 Democratic candidate in FL-18, and Democratic candidate in 2016 U.S. Senate election in Florida[254]
  • Oz Vazquez, former Florida deputy solicitor general[255]

Endorsements[edit]

Pam Keith
Federal officials
Individuals
Organizations
Oz Vazquez
Federal officials
  • Patrick Murphy, former U.S. Representative (D-FL-18) (2013-2017) and Democratic nominee in 2016 U.S. Senate race in Florida[261]
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pam Keith
Democratic Oz Vazquez
Total votes 100.0%

Independents[edit]

  • K.W. Miller, energy analyst, conservative commentator, and QAnon-affiliated conspiracy theorist

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[266] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[267] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[268] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[269] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[270] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[271] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[272] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling[edit]

Results[edit]

Florida's 18th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic TBA
Total votes

District 19[edit]

The 19th district takes in southwestern Florida, including Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Naples, and Marco Island. The incumbent is Republican Francis Rooney, who was reelected with 62.3% of the vote in 2018.[20] On October 19, 2019, Rooney announced he would not seek re-election.[273]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrawn

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Byron Donalds
Organizations
Dane Eagle
Federal officials
State officials
Heather Fitzenhagen (withdrew)
Organizations
Dan Severson
Individuals

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Casey
Askar
Byron
Donalds
Dane
Eagle
William
Figlesthaler
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics July 6, 2020 503 (LV) ± 4.3% 30.1% 25.9% 7.5% 15.6% 8.6%[e] 12.3%

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Darren Aquino
Republican Byron Donalds
Republican Dane Eagle
Republican William Figlesthaler
Republican Heather Fitzenhagen
Republican Randy Henderson
Republican Christy McLaughlin
Republican Dan Severson
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cindy Banyai
Democratic David Holden
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[301] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[302] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[303] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[304] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[305] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[306] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[307] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling[edit]

Results[edit]

Florida's 19th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic TBA
Independent Antonio Dumornay
Total votes 100.0

District 20[edit]

The 20th district is located in southeast Florida, encompassing the majority-black areas in and around Fort Lauderdale and West Palm Beach. The incumbent is Democrat Alcee Hastings, who was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[20]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Organizations
  • Demand Universal Healthcare (DUH)[51]
  • VoteWater[312]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Democratic Alcee Hastings (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Vic DeGrammont
  • Linda Hamburger
  • Lateresa Jones[313]
  • Gregory Musselwhite, Sr., wedding inspector [313] [314]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vic DeGrammont
Republican Linda Hamburger
Republican Lateresa Jones
Republican Gregory Musselwhite
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[315] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[316] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[317] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[318] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[319] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[320] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[321] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 20th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 21[edit]

The 21st district is located in southeast Florida, running from Wellington to Pompano Beach. The incumbent is Democrat Lois Frankel, who was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[20]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Lois Frankel
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lois Frankel (incumbent)
Democratic Guido Weiss
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Laura Loomer
U.S. Representatives
Individuals

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Laura
Loomer
Other
Laura Loomer for Congress/The Washington Sentinel[C] Released June 20, 2020 [f] 51% >=4%[g]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christian Acosta
Republican Piotr Blass
Republican Michael Bluemling Jr.
Republican Elizabeth Felton
Republican Victor Garcia da Rosa
Republican Laura Loomer
Republican Aaron Scanlan
Republican Michael Vilardi
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[336] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[337] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[338] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[339] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[340] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[341] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[342] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida’s 21st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 22[edit]

The 22nd district encompasses parts of Broward County and Palm Beach County.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ted Deutch (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Jessica Melton, businesswoman[343]
  • James Pruden, attorney and businessman[344]
  • Christine Scott [345]
  • Eddison Walters, businessman
  • Kevin M. Boyle [97]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jessica Melton
Republican James Pruden
Republican Christine Scott
Republican Eddison Walters
Republican Kevin M. Boyle
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[346] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[347] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[348] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[349] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[350] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[351] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[352] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 22nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ted Deutch (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 23[edit]

The 23rd district encompasses central Broward County, including Weston, Pembroke Pines, Davie, and Plantation, and stretches into Miami-Dade County, taking in Miami Beach. The incumbent is Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who was re-elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2018.[20]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Jen Perelman
Individuals
Organizations
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jen Perelman
Democratic Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kim Johnson
Republican Ilya Katz
Republican Michael Kroske
Republican Richard Mendelson
Republican Carla Spalding
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[346] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[347] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[348] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[349] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[350] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[351]|style="background:#88f" data-sort-value=-4|Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[352]|style="background:#88f" data-sort-value=-4|Safe D June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 23rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 24[edit]

The 24th district includes parts of Miami and its northern suburbs such as North Miami Beach and Miami Gardens. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 17th district from 2011 to 2013, was re-elected to a fifth term unopposed in 2018.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Frederica Wilson
Organizations
Sakinah Lehtola
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sakinah Lehtola
Democratic Christine Olivo
Democratic Frederica Wilson (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Howard Knepper
  • Lavern Spicer

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Howard Knepper
Republican Lavern Spicer
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[369] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[370] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[371] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[372] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[373] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[374] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[375] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results[edit]

Florida's 24th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Libertarian Courtney Omega-Turner
Total votes 100.0

District 25[edit]

The 25th district includes the western Miami suburbs, such as Hialeah and Miami Lakes, and goes across the northern border of the Everglades to eastern Naples suburbs of Golden Gate and Immokalee. The district also extends upward into the Florida Heartland including Clewiston and LaBelle. Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 21st district from 2011 to 2013 as well as a different version of the 25th from 2003 to 2011, was re-elected to a ninth term with 60% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Total votes 100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[377] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[378] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[379] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[380] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[381] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[382] Likely R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[383] Safe R June 7, 2020

Endorsements[edit]

Yadira Escobar

Polling[edit]

Results[edit]

Florida's 25th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0
Republican hold

District 26[edit]

The 26th district covers south Florida, taking in all of Monroe County and southwestern Miami-Dade County, including Homestead, Kendale Lakes, and The Hammocks. The incumbent is Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2018.[20]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (incumbent)
Democratic Juan Paredes
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrew[edit]
Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Carlos A. Giménez
Federal officials
U.S. Representatives

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Omar Blanco
Republican Carlos A. Giménez
Republican José Peixoto
Total votes 100.0%

Endorsements[edit]

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)
Organizations

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[400] Lean D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[401] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[402] Lean D July 2, 2020
Politico[403] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[404] Tossup June 3, 2020
RCP[405] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[406] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling[edit]

Hypothetical polling
with Irina Vilariño
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Debbie
Murcasell-Powell (D)
Irina
Vilariño (R)
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates/Politico Jul 15-17, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 33% 22%
with Carlos Curbelo
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Debbie
Murcasell-Powell (D)
Carlos
Curbelo (R)
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates/Politico Jul 15-17, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 45% 13%
with generic Democrat and generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates/Politico Jul 15-17, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 38% 14%

Results[edit]

Florida's 26th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 27[edit]

The 27th district is located entirely within Miami-Dade County, including over half of Miami, as well as Miami Beach, Coral Gables, West Miami, South Miami, Pinecrest, Cutler Bay, Palmetto Bay, Key Biscayne, and North Bay Village. The incumbent is Democrat Donna Shalala, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.8% of the vote in 2018.[20]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Donna Shalala
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Donna Shalala (incumbent)
Democratic Donald Summerall
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Maria Elvira Salazar
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gabe Ferrer (withdrew)
Republican Juan Fiol
Republican Frank Polo (Write-In) Qualified for General Elections
Republican Maria Elvira Salazar
Republican Enrique Tarrio (withdrew)
Total votes 100.0%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[417] Likely D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[418] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[419] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[420] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[421] Lean D June 3, 2020
RCP[422] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[423] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling[edit]

Results[edit]

Florida's 27th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Donna Shalala
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "someone else" with 5%
  3. ^ Standard VI response
  4. ^ Response after pollster provided respondents with talking points about Greenberg
  5. ^ Henderson with 4.6%; Aquino and McLaughlin with 1.6%; Kowal and Severson with 0.4%
  6. ^ Not yet released
  7. ^ "Nearest competitor to Laura Loomer" with 4%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Cammack's cmampaign
  2. ^ Poll conducted for Vern Buchanan
  3. ^ Poll conducted by Loomer's campaign

References[edit]

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