United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018

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United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018

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  SenatorRogerWicker(R-MS).jpg No image.svg
Nominee Roger Wicker David Baria
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Senator

Roger Wicker
Republican



The 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi will take place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Republican Roger Wicker is running for reelection to a second full term.

The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018 with a runoff on June 26 if a party's primary fails to produce a majority winner.[1]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Roger Wicker
U.S. Presidents
Governors
Statewide Officals
U.S. Senators
Mississippi State Officials
  • Dane Maxwell, Mayor of Pascagoula[16]
Chris McDaniel (withdrawn)
Political operatives
  • Tommy Barnett, treasurer of Remember Mississippi super PAC[17]
  • Laura Van Overschelde, Chair of the Mississippi Tea Party[18]
  • Grant Sowell, Chair of the Tupelo Tea Party[19]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Roger Wicker 127,449 82.8
Republican Richard Boyanton 26,519 17.2
Total votes 153,968 100

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Jensen Bohren
Organizations
  • Jackpine Radicals[29]
  • Vote STEM[30]
  • Sustainable Politician Project[31]
David Baria
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
David
Baria
Jensen
Bohren
Omeria
Scott
Howard
Sherman
Undecided
Triumph Campaigns April 10–11, 2018 446 7% 4% 9% 2% 79%

Results[edit]

Initial primary results by county:
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Howard Sherman 27,087 32.0
Democratic David Baria 26,341 31.1
Democratic Omeria Scott 20,273 23.9
Democratic Victor G. Maurice Jr. 4,184 4.9
Democratic Jerone Garland 4,107 4.8
Democratic Jensen Bohren 2,746 3.2
Total votes 84,738 100

Runoff results[edit]

Democratic primary runoff results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Baria 43,402 58.7
Democratic Howard Sherman 30,598 41.3
Total votes 74,000 100.0

Independents and third party candidates[edit]

Libertarian Party[edit]

Declared[edit]

Reform Party[edit]

Declared[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Solid R September 29, 2017
Inside Elections[35] Solid R September 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Safe R September 27, 2017
Fox News[37] Likely R^ July 9, 2018
CNN[38] Solid R July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[39] Safe R June 2018

^Highest rating given

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of May 5, 2018
Candidate Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Roger Wicker (R) $4,801,745 2,979,016 $3,443,162
Howard Sherman (D) $501,000 $1,000 $500,000
David Baria (D) $120,644 $154 $120,489
Richard Boyanton (R) $60,000 $0 $25,042
Jerone Garland (D) 0$ $1,201 $465
Jensen Bohren (D) $1,861 $1,639 $221
Source: Federal Election Commission[40]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roger
Wicker (R)
David
Baria (D)
Undecided
Triumph Campaigns April 10–11, 2018 1,000 ± 3.0% 48% 31% 21%

References[edit]

  1. ^ "United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017. 
  2. ^ "Former President Bush to attend private event in Jackson". Starkville Daily News. June 1, 2017. Retrieved June 5, 2017. 
  3. ^ "Candidacy form" (PDF). docquery.fec.gov. 
  4. ^ Pender, Geoff (November 16, 2015). "Some post-Trump political prognostics". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved December 6, 2016. 
  5. ^ "Precursor to 2018? Coordinated effort by McDaniel, Sojourner, Walters to malign Sen. @RogerWicker". Yall Politics. November 14, 2015. Retrieved December 6, 2016. 
  6. ^ Harrison, Bobby (July 9, 2017). "Will Tupelo's Wicker face McDaniel challenge in 2018 Senate race?". Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal. Retrieved July 17, 2017. 
  7. ^ "GOP showdown: McDaniel expected to challenge Wicker for Senate". 
  8. ^ Swanson, Ian (28 February 2018). "McDaniel makes GOP Senate challenge official in Miss". 
  9. ^ "McDaniel to Run for Open Mississippi Senate Seat - Chris McDaniel for US Senate". 14 March 2018. 
  10. ^ "Senator Chris McDaniel". www.facebook.com. 
  11. ^ "Ex-President George W. Bush Raises Money for Sen. Wicker". U.S. News. June 1, 2017. Retrieved March 4, 2018. 
  12. ^ "President Donald Trump is backing Sen. Roger Wicker against a Steve Bannon-led challenge by Chris McDaniel". The Sun Herald. October 20, 2017. Retrieved December 13, 2017. 
  13. ^ Phil Bryant. "I agree with @realDonaldTrump. Sen. Roger Wicker has been instrumental in cutting taxes, eliminating burdensome regulations, creating jobs and strengthening our border. Mississippi needs Sen. Wicker in Washington, and I hope you will join me in voting for him on June 5". Twitter. 
  14. ^ Greg Snowden. "Every citizen is entitled to their own opinion, of course, but for myself, I stand with President Donald Trump in supporting the re-election of Senator Roger Wicker". Twitter. 
  15. ^ "Santorum Endorses Wicker". 
  16. ^ Ulmer, Sarah (December 15, 2017). "Pascagoula Mayor Dane Maxwell: We're going to fight to keep Senator Wicker". Y'all Politics. Retrieved December 15, 2017. 
  17. ^ "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. If Senator Chris McDaniel chooses to run for U.S. Senate, he will have our support and the support of these state and local leaders, along with many of their grassroots organizations... We are ready to hit the ground running to elect Chris McDaniel. 
  18. ^ "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. In 2014, the common folks of Mississippi made the very definite statement that we are not being heard and those in power have no intention of hearing us... One person, Chris McDaniel, had the courage to say enough is enough. We almost got it done and common people all over the country recognized what we nearly accomplished. We support Chris McDaniel’s efforts to reestablish governance by the consent of the governed. 
  19. ^ "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. Year after year, our Senators and Congressmen rank so low on most conservative scorecards. It’s time we elect a Senator who truly represents Mississippi’s conservative constituency. 
  20. ^ Dovere, Edward-Isaac (February 28, 2018). "Democrat David Baria enters Senate race in Mississippi". POLITICO. 
  21. ^ "BOHREN, JENSEN MR - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. 
  22. ^ a b c d "Qualifying list" (PDF). www.sos.ms.gov. 
  23. ^ "Omeria Scott running for US Senate". WTOK.com. March 1, 2018. 
  24. ^ Hall, Sam R.; Pender, Geoff (February 28, 2018). "2 Democrats — state lawmaker, Sela Ward's husband — enter #MSSEN race". Clarion Ledger. Retrieved February 28, 2018. 
  25. ^ "Here are a few Democrats who could make a U.S. Senate run in Mississippi". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved 2017-12-29. 
  26. ^ "Millennial Democrat enters 4th Congressional District race". sunherald. Retrieved 2017-12-29. 
  27. ^ Harrison, Bobby (October 19, 2017). "Presley could be hope for Democrats under right circumstances". Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal. Retrieved October 19, 2017. 
  28. ^ Dovere, Edward-Isaac (January 18, 2018). "Top Democratic recruit passes on Mississippi Senate run". Politico. Retrieved January 18, 2018. 
  29. ^ "2018 election progressive candidates". JackpineRadicals.com. Jackpine Radicals. November 23, 2017. Retrieved December 13, 2017. 
  30. ^ "2018 Mississippi Candidates Vetted". VoteSTEM.org. Vote STEM. February 5, 2018. Retrieved February 14, 2018. 
  31. ^ "Sustainable Politician Project". sustainablepoliticianproject.com. Sustainable Politician Project. May 7, 2018. Retrieved May 15, 2018. 
  32. ^ "Baria endorsed by Mississippi AFL-CIO". bariaformississippi.com. March 27, 2018. Retrieved May 13, 2018. 
  33. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". 
  34. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017. 
  35. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017. 
  36. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017. 
  37. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018. 
  38. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018. 
  39. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018. 
  40. ^ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved May 5, 2018. 

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites